Orange County Wave
Katie Porter (CA-45), Harley Rouda (CA-48), and Gil Cisneros (CA-39) have all been declared the winner in their districts. Combined with the previously called race for Mike Levin in CA-49, Orange County will now be represented by all Democrats in Congress. The last time this happened was in the 1930s.
It is apparent there was a bigger blue wave than what pundits deemed on election night. In addition, the turnout turned out to be the biggest in 104 years for a midterm.
In other California races, Josh Harder defeated the incumbent in CA-10. TJ Cox has been gaining against the incumbent in CA-21 and the race is not over. California’s delegation may consist of only eight Republicans out of 53 representatives.
Blue Wave Nationally
The pattern has repeated itself in other parts of the country. FiveThirtyEight predicts Democrats will gain 40 seats nationwide in the House of Representatives.
Notably, the last Republican House member in New England lost. Maine Senator Susan Collins is the only Republican representing New England in Congress.
With Kyrsten Sinema’s win, Arizona now has a Democratic Senator for the first time since 1967. Democrats picked up several Governorships and have a total of 23. In addition, several state legislatures flipped to Democratic control, or Republicans lost a significant majority.
Time To Think About 2020
Still, there remains a lot of work to do to keep the gains. First, our work has expanded. There are still vulnerable Republicans to defeat, but we will also need to defend the gains from this election, like those in the Central Valley and Orange County. We also want to shift the Democratic party to be more progressive.
Second, several states have turned more Republican. In particular, Democrats did not fare well in Ohio, Iowa, and Florida. Florida is one of the six states The Cook Political Report’s Dave Wasserman thinks will decide the presidency. The other five states are Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, and North Carolina. Democrats fared better in these states, but not by overwhelming margins.
Lastly, we have to fight against voter suppression and gerrymandering. As the close races in this election show, Republicans do not want everyone eligible to vote, or to even count every vote.
Check out the Swing SoCal Left calendar for steps to take now. There is a run-off election for the Mississippi Senate race.
The 2020 elections will be won by what we do in 2019.