The Grand Canyon State

 Mark Kelly and Gabrielle Giffords

 Swing Left Super States

One of Closest in the Country

The 2020 Arizona Senate race looks to be one of the tighest race in the country. This is a special election to fill the remaining two years of John McCain’s term. Incumbent Republican Martha McSally is defending the seat. After she narrowly lost the 2018 Arizona Senate race to Democratic Kyrsten Sinema, the Arizona governor appointed McSally in January 2019 to this seat.

Mark Kelly is the probable Democratic candidate. He is the husband of former Democratic Rep. Gabrielle Giffords. She survived being shot in the head during an assassination attempt in 2011. He is a retired American astronaut and U.S. Navy Captain. Kelly currently has no competitive challengers in the Aug. 4, 2020 primary.

Going to be Expensive

Like the 2018 Arizona Senate election, this race will be expensive. Candidates and political action committees spent $118.7 million on the 2018 race.

For the 2020 race, in just the second quarter of 2019, Kelly brought in $4.2 million to McSally’s $3 million. Kelly has also outraised McSally in total. Kelly currently has $6 million in the bank. McSally has $4.4 million.

Voter Registrations

Conversely, Republicans have the edge in voter registrations in Arizona. Overall registrations in Arizona by party, as of July 1, 2019:

  • Republican: 34.79% (1,329,409)
  • Party-Not-Designated/Other: 33.17% (1,267,340)
  • Democratic: 31.03% (1,185,612)
  • Libertarian: 0.84% (32,258)
  • Green: 0.17% (6,420)

Help the Democrat Win

Swing Left calls Arizona one of their “Super States” due in part to this race.  Similiarily, The Cook Political Report has the race as a toss-up.

Want to help the Democratic candidate win this Senate race in 2020? Several groups in Southern California are working to help flip this seat blue. Find those events here!

Check out our Map of 2020 Republican Senate Seats in Play